U.Ok. Output Weakest Since Simply After Brexit Vote, PMI Reveals

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The U.Ok. economic system’s efficiency was the worst since July 2016 this month as uncertainty from Brexit and the snap election weighed on sentiment.

IHS Markit’s composite Buying Managers Index slipped to 48.5, with readings for each manufacturing and companies falling additional beneath the 50 mark that separates growth from contraction. The figures are a brand new flash estimate, produced per week sooner than regular, based mostly on 85% of responses.

The pound declined after the report, dropping 0.3% to $1.2877 as of 9:32 a.m. London time.

Britain narrowly dodged a recession within the third quarter as factories stockpiled forward of the Oct. 31 deadline, albeit much less so than earlier than the earlier exit date. The method has now been prolonged once more, and corporations are clamping down on funding as they await a clearer image of the U.Ok.’s future relationship with the European Union. That gained’t take form till after the Dec. 12 election.

“The weak survey information places the economic system on the right track for a 0.2% drop in GDP within the fourth quarter,” mentioned Chris Williamson, chief enterprise economist at IHS Markit. It “additionally pushes the PMI additional into territory that may usually be related to the Financial institution of England including extra stimulus to the economic system.”

Key Insights

Non-public sector output has dropped in two of the previous three monthsNew orders fell on the quickest tempo since July 2016Firms lowered employees for a 3rd monthInput price inflation moderatedThe flash manufacturing PMI got here in at 48.3, whereas companies posted 48.6Markit will publish closing PMI readings for this month at the beginning of December

(Updates with market response in third paragraph)

–With help from Harumi Ichikura.

To contact the reporter on this story: Brian Swint in London at [email protected]

To contact the editors liable for this story: Paul Gordon at [email protected], Lucy Meakin, David Goodman

For extra articles like this, please go to us at bloomberg.com

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