Lifeboat Australia sailed when the government released coronavirus modeling Malcolm Farr | Australian News | Instant News


The federal government on Tuesday released a complicated model of the spread of the corona virus which is entirely theoretical and has nothing to do with Australia.

That was one of the strangest moments of public debate about Covid-19 over the past three weeks.

Chief shooter medical officer Brendan Murphy was questioned by a reporter on Tuesday whether the modeling “showed something about the relative effectiveness of various measures” used in Australia.

Murphy answers: “Unfortunately, it’s not.”

Which opened the question why he was there, at a press conference in Canberra Scott Morrison, revealing vast amounts of data and projections that don’t have applications in this country.

It’s too early because the Australian experience has been modeled. There are only about 500 cases of public contact – different from those imported from other countries or cruises – and that is not a large enough calculation to work on.

But the graphs and tables that are displayed do have a purpose – though not one designed for them – and it is not a wasted opportunity as far as the government and its advisors are concerned.

It was an opportunity to quell the ever-increasing demands of “show us the modeling”. As a result, the response is: You want modeling, you have modeling, even though it’s not relevant to this country.

More importantly, it is a tactic to underline the critical urgency of Australians who continue to follow instructions to stay at home, continue to wash their hands, and take other actions to limit the Covid-19 threat.

Hoping in the coming days more government requests for Australians to maintain the cleanliness and discipline of social contact, and ignore the traditional Easter temptation to travel with family.

It was an opportunity to strengthen the success of these steps, and to assess Australia’s performance as superior to others – even if there was no modeling to support that pride.

The prime minister and his best health adviser look up rather than forward. They direct attention, for example, to the strength of our health system in contrast to weak structures abroad.

Murphy said the national cabinet of federal and state leaders, who met Tuesday “had asked for a raft of options”, and promoted a humorous analogy.

“We have put ourselves on a life raft, not like the US and other countries that sit in the water,” Murphy told reporters.

“We are on a life raft. We must map the path in which we take the life raft. “

Morrison makes similar points with far less poetry.

He said the data showed “that by taking the steps we take, you can make a difference”.

The prime minister said the steps were “buying time, giving us the opportunity for more choices”.

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