The specialists from TeamRankings are again to assist inform your Week 14 NFL picks with value-based technique recommendation that may enable you to dominate your decide ’em swimming pools. For extra suggestions and a fast primer on how our data-driven methodology may help you win weekly and yearly prizes, take a look at our article on NFL pick ’em pool strategy.
This evaluation is offered by TeamRankings.com, the one web site that customizes decide suggestions to provide the greatest likelihood to win your soccer swimming pools. Final season, 81 % of TeamRankings subscribers reported profitable a prize in a soccer decide ’em contest. To date this 12 months, their subscribers have already received almost 1,300 weekly pool prizes.
Knowledgeable Week 14 NFL Picks Recommendation: Decide ’em swimming pools
As at all times, we’ll break down 5 noteworthy Week 14 video games that stand out due to win odds and decide recognition. Deciding which means you wish to go on these video games needs to be prime of thoughts while you make your Week 14 picks.
Needless to say, we aren’t saying you need to make all of those picks. One of the best picks on your particular soccer decide ’em pool depend upon a number of technique elements, such because the variety of entries in your pool, whether or not it makes use of confidence factors; and whether or not it affords season prizes, weekly prizes, or each. Our Football Pick ’em Picks product helps determine out one of the best technique for you.
Reminder: The w in odds and decide recognition information under is topic to alter between now and kickoff. For the newest numbers, our decide ’em product updates a number of occasions per day with the newest data.
Favorites At A Affordable Worth
New York Giants (at Washington)
The Giants are 3.5-point favorites on the street towards the Redskins. New York pulled off a giant upset towards the Bears final week, however issues didn’t go as effectively for the Redskins. Washington QB Colt McCoy was injured in final week’s loss to Philadelphia and is completed for the season. With unique starter Alex Smith already on IR, the Redskins have been compelled to depend on third-string journeyman Mark Sanchez. Given Washington’s quarterback points, it’s not stunning that betting markets have the 4-Eight Giants with nearly 63-percent implied win odds on this sport. At roughly 70-percent decide recognition nationwide, the Giants are usually not being considerably overrated by the general public relative to their win odds, that means that there are definitely means higher upset picks on the board this week than Washington.
Pittsburgh Steelers (at Oakland)
The Steelers are 11-point favorites on the street towards Oakland in Week 14. Pittsburgh is coming off a three-point loss to the Chargers in a sport with playoff seeding implications and searching look to bounce again towards the Raiders. As such large underdogs, the chance/reward profile for Oakland as an upset decide simply does not look nice right here, with Pittsburgh having Vegas-implied profitable odds of almost 84 %. Compared, the Chiefs are nearly as common a decide because the Steelers this week, however KC is considerably much less prone to win. So, you would be silly to even contemplate Oakland as an upset decide as an alternative of a workforce like Baltimore.
Inexperienced Bay Packers (vs. Atlanta)
Inexperienced Bay is favored by 5 factors at dwelling towards the Falcons this week. The Vegas-implied win odds for the Packers are about 67 %, whereas 77 % of the general public is choosing them in decide’em swimming pools. Though technically “overrated” like nearly all favorites are, Inexperienced Bay’s decide recognition is comparably decrease than groups just like the Texans and Titans despite the fact that these different groups aren’t favored by as many factors. The Packers fired head coach Mike McCarthy after their Week 13 loss to Arizona, so the general public could also be extra cautious than typical to choose a favourite that’s in a training transition.
MORE TEAMRANKINGS: Intro to data-driven NFL picks
If you happen to’re behind in your decide ’em pool and must make up some factors, time is now operating out. Though it is a dangerous technique, at this level you are most likely going to be greatest served by taking some dangers on considerably underrated underdogs that also have an inexpensive likelihood to win.
Chicago Bears (vs. LA Rams)
The Bears are three-point underdogs at dwelling towards the Rams. After an extra time loss to the Giants final week, Chicago’s decide recognition is a paltry 15 %. Nonetheless, the betting markets have Chicago’s win odds at 41 %, and our fashions are barely extra optimistic about their profitable possibilities. Whereas the Rams have one of the best file within the NFL, the Bears even have quite a bit to play for, as they’re at present main the NFC North and have the third greatest file within the NFC. An almost 27-point distinction in win odds and decide recognition is a really giant differential, making the Bears are very strong consideration for decide ’em swimming pools with weekly prize payouts in addition to season prize swimming pools in case you are trailing within the standings.
New York Jets (at Buffalo)
The Jets are 3.5-point underdogs at Buffalo this week. The Payments and the Jets are among the many weakest groups within the league, and each wish to bounce again from four-point losses final week. With Buffalo having dwelling discipline, it’s comprehensible that the Payments are the favorites, however the Jets nonetheless have Vegas-implied win odds of round 38 %, which is considerably larger than their nationwide decide recognition of solely 13 %. Selecting the Jets is a big gamble, but when they pull off the upset, the payoff needs to be vital when it comes to gaining floor in your opponents.
If you wish to take rather less threat than the Jets, the Vikings (at Seattle) additionally seem like a great upset decide from a threat/reward standpoint. And if you happen to actually wish to go for it, there is a ton of worth on San Francisco (dwelling vs. Denver) — however the 49ers solely have a couple of 35-percent likelihood to win
Which Of These 5 Picks Ought to You Make in Week 14?
Perhaps all, perhaps some. Sorry to sound wishy-washy, however the truth is it takes a variety of number-crunching to get to the proper reply for you.
We constructed our Football Pool Picks to deal with the mathematics and work out the information based mostly on your particular pool. Simply reply a couple of fast questions on your setup (kind of pool, variety of entrants, weekly vs. yearly prizes, and many others.), and our picks product will customise Week 14 suggestions to provide the greatest edge.