“Our independent assessment supports the statement given by officials from the Colorado Department of Public Health and the Environment earlier this afternoon,” Banko said. “It’s important to note that Colorado also fared well to date because we have healthier, younger, and less dense populations compared to earthquake centers throughout the United States.”
CDPHE accepts additional modeling results from a group of local experts from the Colorado School of Public Health, the University of Colorado’s Faculty of Medicine at the CU Anschutz Medical Campus, and experts from the University of Colorado Boulder and the University of Colorado Denver. The model results show that with physical distance, the spread of COVID-19 has slowed in Colorado, but the number of cases is still increasing.
Banko said the country’s response to April would be very important to prevent a surge in patients in the hospital. Centura still hopes to see a significant improvement in critically ill patients with respiratory symptoms that will require hospitalization and extended ventilation.
“In the next two weeks and at least until the end of April (or early May), we will be challenged in a way that we have never done before, and that will require us to unite as an organization, with our fellow health systems, and as a community that never before, “said Banko.
On Monday, 14 of 17 Centura hospitals treated positively positive patients. Centura Hospital currently uses:
- 203 intensive care beds
- 552 medical / surgical beds
- 96 negative pressure isolation beds
- 112 ventilator
Banko said the hospital is preparing a surge of patients by partnering with vendors along with federal and state agents to increase access to personal protective equipment, medicines and bedding.
“Despite the temptation after a few positive days, we must remain proactive, the efforts of the entire country are enforced by the Governor of the Police and his team. We must personally continue to practice maintaining social distance and stay at home, “said Banko. “Each of these sacrifices helps get Colorado on the other side of the curve and protect the health and well-being of each of us, especially more vulnerable populations.”
Centura Forecasting is developed using the number of cases per country, the growth rate per country since their first 100 cases, demographics and population density, testing efforts, country intervention efforts, trajectories of viral growth rates, virus death rates, and their impact in other countries. That is then compared to the various COVID-19 models available from leading industry and internal experts.
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