Scientists have predicted the exact date according to them Britain, and other countries in the world, would be free corona virus.
Singapore University Technology and Design has created a mathematical model that predicts future Covid-19 infections using data from current confirmed cases and deaths.
The model – based on the ‘prediction-monitoring’ technique – includes cases and deaths worldwide and visualizes data in bar charts. The bell-shaped curve above shows the trajectory of the projected disease, including peaks, acceleration and deceleration.
On predictions on April 30, the UK is predicted to be free of coronavirus on August 27, Singapore earlier on June 28, and the US later on September 20.
This model estimates the end of 100% of a pandemic on a world scale around December 4.
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However, the scientists who made predictions have stressed that predictions are open to change and the date is uncertain.
The team said the model was “inaccurate with the complex, evolving and heterogeneous realities of various countries” and that “predictions are inherently uncertain”.
This is due to a number of factors, including strengthening restrictions in some places and easing actions in other places, people not complying with measures or protesting against locking.
The report added: optimism Too optimistic based on estimates of the end date is dangerous because it can loosen our discipline and control and cause virus circulation and infection, and should be avoided. ’
Evidence-based medicine professor at Oxford University, Carl Heneghan, estimates there will be a sporadic increase and decrease in deaths over the next four to six weeks, but does not expect to find coronavirus listed in ONS mortality data at the end of the year. June.
Speaking at this week’s briefing, he said: “I think at the end of June we will look at the data and find it difficult to find people with this disease, if the current trend continues in death.
“But we will continue to experience these sporadic ups and downs for about four to six weeks.”
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