March Madness 2019: Ranking the Sweet 16 teams’ chances to win it all, from Duke on down | NCAA Basketball

As a result of there as soon as was a gaggle that contained Derrick Rose, Russell Westbrook, Tyler Hansbrough, Kevin Love and a few skinny child named Steph Curry, we’re not going going to say the Candy 16 group we’ll rejoin Thursday and Friday for an additional eight video games is the most effective in NCAA Match historical past.

It’s potential there’s by no means been one, although, through which so many groups have been so completed.

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Solely 5 of the remaining groups gained neither an everyday season nor convention event, they usually common 29 victories every. Eight groups gained or shared their convention regular-season title. Three gained their convention tournaments. Michigan State, within the Huge Ten, gained each.

So whenever you see the checklist of Candy 16 groups ranked so as of their potential to win the NCAA championship — a rating primarily based on NBA-level expertise, draw, offensive and defensive effectivity and the presence of a gameplan-breaking participant — chances are you’ll be horrified to see their workforce’s identify at or close to the underside. In a few years, you could be justified in feeling insulted (although the truth is, your males positively weren’t going to win).

On this firm somebody should be 16th. But it surely’s no insult to be listed there. Right here, there may be not the usually huge distinction between first and final. When you’ve been lower than moved by how March Insanity has developed this yr, simply wait till you see what’s coming this weekend.

1. Duke

Everyone knows you need to view the UCF recreation as an indicator Duke is faltering. The reality: Duke is flawed. It’s not a succesful perimeter capturing workforce. It could actually discover the vary at explicit moments, and even get sizzling for a recreation, however Duke just isn’t profitable this championship from lengthy distance. It should have the ability to entry the lane. Groups that may jam that space — anybody acquired one other 7-6 heart laying round? — have an actual likelihood.

2. North Carolina

The Tar Heels’ offense is operating at such a high level, even Washington’s glorious 2-Three zone made little impression in slowing it down. There could also be nobody else within the event that may put extra high-level scorers on the ground without delay. And there’s a likelihood, relying on developments with different groups, that the area the place the Tar Heels are positioned has weakened for the reason that bracket reveal.

3. Virginia

Having disposed of the burden of losing to a 16-seed, the Cavaliers are actually merely a workforce in pursuit of a championship: a really, excellent, close-to-complete workforce. And although they should take care of a dynamic and sophisticated Candy 16 opponent in Oregon, the area nonetheless appears designed to intensify UVA’s strengths.

4. Gonzaga

The Zags had issue establishing a constant offensive stream for his or her finest perimeter scorers towards Baylor’s zone protection. That leads one to surprise if the size they’ll pose of their Candy 16 recreation towards FSU can be problematic. It might be extra essential than ever for level guard Josh Perkins to generate alternatives off the bounce. That’s not his best power.

MORE: It keeps getting sweeter for Zags’ big-time program

5. Michigan State

The problems with the Spartans’ bench brought on by the late-season ankle injury to Kyle Ahrens have been absolutely on show within the more-difficult-than-expected first-round win over Bradley. The brief bench is much less of an issue within the event, relative to fatigue, than it could be within the common season. But it surely does depart Tom Izzo with fewer solutions then he’d choose.

6. Kentucky

The absence of star forward PJ Washington makes producing sufficient factors to win an issue that may endure so long as the Wildcats final — or till he returns. It’s unknown whether or not Washington can be obtainable for this weekend. Thus, UK’s place on this checklist shakier than most. Truthfully, if his unavailability have been a certainty, the Wildcats could be in double-digits.

7. Michigan

The Wolverines survived a tough day for star freshman Iggy Brazdeikis of their second-round recreation. That is the factor about this workforce: They’ll win when certainly one of their high scorers — possibly even a pair — doesn’t produce, as long as level guard Zavier Simpson is in command and dictating the proceedings at each ends of the ground. Think about what may occur if a couple of or two weapons fires precisely in the identical recreation.

8. LSU

If we thought it could be problematic for the Tigers to be functioning beneath an interim coach, and if it regarded very very similar to that in their temporary look within the SEC Match, we found their true resolve of their first two video games of this occasion. They carried out as gracefully beneath stress towards Maryland as they’d with Will Wade on the bench after they got here again in February video games towards Kentucky and Tennessee. With gamers as gifted as Tremont Waters and Naz Reid, the Tigers can win this. What an odd story that will be.

MORE: Red Raiders using pain of loss in latest tournament run

9. Texas Tech

There was nothing a lot thrilling about Tech’s first two wins within the event, and there will not be something a lot to get enthusiastic about till maybe they’ve gained two extra. (They’ll lower down nets if that occurs). This workforce’s protection squeezes the power out of opposing assaults and, although All-American Jarrett Culver is able to particular person brilliance, invariably will quality-shot opponents into submission.

10. Florida State

The Seminoles nonetheless convey Mfiondu Kabengele off the bench, which can be one of the simplest ways to cover what a proficient offense this has turn into. His growth has made him essentially the most underrated participant on this event. He has turn into a power on offense and stays an integral a part of the Seminoles’ aggravating protection. One wonders if there’s a participant on this workforce who can take the ball and make a play occur in stress circumstances — however not whether or not FSU can create these circumstances for the opposition.

11. Tennessee

Sure, you are going to surprise why the Volunteers are here, and never someplace within the positions listed above. They’ve been one of many season’s finest groups, and probably essentially the most constant of all. They’ve proven a resilience that separates them even from the groups comprising the Candy 16. However someplace between right here and April 8, the necessity for high-end expertise that separates champions from people who come shut goes to reach.

12. Purdue

If Carsen Edwards can play on the degree he did within the Boilers’ destruction of defending champion Villanova, Purdue can beat anybody left within the area. The percentages of him doing that 4 extra occasions with out exception will not be distinctive.

MORE: Carsen’s unforgettable performance in win needs improvement

13. Oregon

The one double-digit seed to outlive the primary weekend, the geese have been defying the usual they set for themselves with their meager efficiency between November and February. Their zone scheme has punished opponents with its size and dynamism. Guard Payton Pritchard has carried out like somebody with no real interest in commencing the offseason. As terrific as freshman Louis King has been throughout this run of success, there may be even higher basketball contained in his recreation that might be revealed earlier than Oregon is finished.

14. Houston

The distinction between Houston and nearly everybody else remaining is the Cougars’ relative inexperience in dealing with this degree of opposition, even beneath tenured coach Kelvin Sampson. They’ve crushed just one workforce — LSU — that earned a top-four seed from this yr’s event. However then, none of these groups beat Houston, both. The Cougars will not be an important 3-point capturing workforce, don’t get fouled loads, don’t shoot a excessive share on 2s … and but, they get what they need out of their offense as a result of they punish groups on the offensive glass and don’t usually throw away the ball.

15. Virginia Tech

Though Justin Robinson performed successfully within the second-round victory over Liberty, we nonetheless do not know precisely how near their potential the Hokies are working now he’s again from harm. It’s not straightforward to get better the rhythm and effectiveness that’s impacted when such an essential participant is lacking. However the Hokies are harmful. They know what they’re able to attaining.

16. Auburn

I’ve been doing these lists, rating the Candy 16, for properly over a decade. I don’t recall at any level in that point inserting a workforce with this degree of expertise and accomplishment at this place. Normally, my remark is one thing on the order of: “Simply be pleased you are on this checklist.” And Auburn needs to be pleased. It has been some time because it has been right here, and this can be a terrific achievement. However they needn’t be content material.

It might be a stretch to say the Tigers may win this championship. But it surely’s not exterior the realm of chance. They appear a bit 3-point-dependent to proceed advancing, however they are going to be no enjoyable for Carolina to play. (Who’re we kidding? It will likely be a ton of enjoyable. There’ll be jumpshots all over the place! It simply gained’t be straightforward for the Heels).

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