From the point of view of the franchise, the first round of 2015 NFL Draft is one of the worst of all time. Five years later, only seven of the Day 1 picks were completed for their sixth season with the club that designed them. That includes only one player from the top 10 – Washington offensive midfielder Brandon Scherff.
Yes, the first round of the 2015 draft did something that was long considered impossible in the NFL. That makes Washington look like a stable and well-managed organization.
Five years ago, each of these choices was an opportunity. Now they are studying. The first 32 choices of the draft presented themes that can be applied until 2020.
Winston’s cannon arm led the State of Florida to the national championship and gave him the Heisman Trophy. He used the unquenchable desire to make a big game to become the most vulnerable NFL player; he has 88 interceptions, 50 errors, and zero playoff appearances with Bucs. He is currently a free agent.
Lessons learned: The Heisman Winner is not a safe bet … and is very difficult to stop.
Winston was given five years to bet his claim as the Tampa franchise quarterback and win 28-42. The Buccaneers were finally willing to let the sun go down in the Winston era, in part, because superior choices emerged in free agency. Bruce Arians bet Tom Brady is the key to unlocking the potential of his team.
The player is valid in 2020: Joe Burrow
2 Tennessee Titans: Marcus Mariota, QB
Mariota stuck on “goodness” and never managed to achieve “greatness.” The Titans finished 9-7 in four of the five former Oregon star seasons on the run-list which culminated in Mariota losing his initially supportive job Dolphins retread Ryan Tannehill.
Lessons learned: See above.
Like Winston, Mariota has the Heisman Trophy at home, but is likely to head into a backup role after joining the Raiders.
The player is valid in 2020: Joe Burrow
3 Jacksonville Jaguars: Dante Fowler, Edge
Fowler has more potential than production in Florida, but Jaguar likes his strength and athleticism enough to make it the center of their concept class. He missed his rookie year because of an ACL tear, then made one start in 2.5 years for Jacksonville before trading.
Lessons learned: Potential needs opportunities.
Fowler’s injury damaged his learning curve, and a slow start trapped him in the middle of the Jaguar depth chart. The first season in which he played more than 53 percent of his team’s defense occurred in 2019. He rewarded that belief with 11.5 career sacks … for TUP.
4. Oakland Robber: Amari Cooper, WR
Cooper designed to be the number one player in the league. Two Pro Bowl the invitation in the first two seasons supports that claim – although it takes an exchange from Oakland to restore luster after a disappointing 2017.
Lessons learned: Wideout Day 1 Alabama meets hype.
5. Washington: Brandon Scherff, OL
Scherff plays both tackle and guard on campus and is an ideal Iowa blocker: big, aggressive, and very tough. The fifth overall may seem rather high, but he rewards Washington with three Pro Bowl awards and is defended this spring through franchise tag.
Lessons learned: Good blocking is important, wherever that is.
Only one guard has been chosen in the top five choices since 1976. Scherff played enough on the edge to avoid a place on the list, but he was used almost exclusively at right-hand guards in Washington. He also kicked his butt. With NFL QBs now more mobile than ever and the value of blocking expansion right outside the blindside protector, could soon be the time for full-time guards to return to the top five.
6 Jet New York: Leonard Williams, DL
Williams is the top-three pick that is projected to fall to the Jets at No. 6. He started to reach that potential in the Pro Bowl 2016 campaign, but failed to match the production in the following years. He traded to Giants last fall.
Lessons learned: Never expect too much, Jets fans.
Between 2012 and 2016, New York has 11 first or second round choices. Williams, with the only Pro Bowl invitation, maybe the best of the group Sheldon Richardson (not bad!) but also Christian Hackenberg, Darron Lee, and Dee Milliner (bad!).
The last three seasons have tended in the opposite direction thanks to brilliance Jamal Adams and potential Sam Darnold and Quinnen Williams. However, as Leonard Williams has proven, his initial success as a Jet is not a guarantee of future returns.
The player is valid in 2020: According to to our mock concept database, Sheep Ceeee, Jerry Jeudy, Jedrick Wills
7 Chicago Bears: Kevin White, WR
white is electricity in West Virginia; 6’3 burner with nose to tip zone. But he is raw and often injured; he played only 14 games in four years for the Bears and spent 2019 out of the NFL.
Lessons learned: Sometimes the universe just says no.
NFL White’s career was played like a rough curse. He missed the whole rookie season because of a broken shin. He broke bones in the same leg after only four matches the following year. He started the team season opener in 2017 and immediately broke his shoulder. In November 2018, he had become a shell from his previous self, making it a healthy scratch.
White has meat to make big. The gods of football have different plans.
The player is valid in 2020: There is no way to find out … except for the safe money of anyone chosen by Brown.
8 Atlanta Falcons: Vic Beasley, Edge
Beasley was the All-Pro’s first team in its second season, but it hasn’t met that standard in three decent, but unsatisfactory, years since. He signed a contract with the Titans this spring.
Lessons learned: Sacks of numbers do not tell the whole story.
There is a warning sign that the 15.5 season sack predicts it is not sustainable. Even though he ranked first in the NFL in a sack in 2016, he was only 45 with 16 QB hits. That shows the numbers will tend to go down – and rightly so.
The player is valid in 2020: Zach Baun, Alex Highsmith
9. New York Giants: Ereck flower, PL
Flowers are designed to be stored Eli Manning honest. He was unsuccessful. Interest was released in 2018, but it was enough to show with Washington in 2019 to get a three-year, $ 30 million contract with the dolphins.
Lessons learned: Pay attention to the red flag, especially if you reach out to fill the position that needs it.
There are many reasons for not choosing Flowers as the top-10 pick. He was not rude and undisciplined, eager to draw a penalty when the first sign was defeated. He’s big and athletic, but the Giants need someone who can make an immediate impact. Bunga is not that person, and it is safe to say that this is too far-reaching still haunt the Giants.
The player is valid in 2020: Jordan Love, A.J. Epenesis
10. St. Louis Rams: Todd Gurley, RB
Gurley is a gamble – all the world running back came from ACL tears which threatened to hamper her career. While he was rookie of the year honors and will be an All-Pro twice in 2017-18, injury concerns weaken his 2019. That, and a contract that cannot be maintained, causes his release this offseason.
Lessons learned: High back running with a history of injury as risky as his voice.
Gurley is a high-risk, high-reward choice that pays both sides of the saying in five seasons as Ram. St. Louis / LA is likely to bargain again – even though they might want to cancel the renewal of their record-setting contract.
11 Minnesota Vikings: Trae Waynes, CB
The lean corners display the lockdown tendency at Michigan State to be the first defensive back chosen in 2015. He eventually became a steady, if not spectacular, starter in Minnesota.
Lessons learned: Aggression is a double-edged sword.
Waynes building a reputation at MSU as a high-level press corner, developing by taking risks, skipping routes, and using its speed of recovery to clean up the mess. That strategy did not produce results for him also for more NFL athletic recipients. He allowed touchdowns more than doubled (nine) from interception (four) in his last three seasons.
12 Cleveland Browns: Danny Shelton, DT
Shelton was one of the last choices from the Ray Farmer era in Cleveland. Despite having little impact as Brown, he is still arguably the team’s best Day 1 from 2011-15. After three years and only 11 tackles for losing 46 matches, he was exchanged for Patriot.
Lessons learned: You might regret exchanging your design breasts for the Patriots.
Shelton was not immediately fortunate in New England, but his second season with the Pats saw him emerge as an above-average interior midfielder. He established the best in QB tackles, sacks and hits as an invaluable part of the NFL’s top defense.
The player is valid in 2020: Since no prospect of Rutgers stands out this year, we must wait and see.
13 New Orleans Saints: Andrus Peat, OL
Peat designed as a high ceiling offensive tackle, but the struggle forced him to maintain most of his career. This works well in bursts. He was one of the most valuable blockers in New Orleans from 2016 to 2018, even though he made a mistake in 2019 (despite getting a Pro Bowl invitation).
Lessons learned: A change in position does not mean admitting defeat, so find someone who is versatile.
Like Scherff before him, PeatThe best job comes as a guard. That may not be the goal of the Saints, but a good team (and also Washington) find ways to maximize talent.
The player is valid in 2020: Every OT prospect who struggles as a beginner.
14. Miami Dolphins: DeVante Parker, WR
Parker was a reliable presence in Louisville, but his senior season – 43 catches, 855 yards in the SIX game – made him a top-15 pick. However, he did not live up to expectations until 2019, because …
Lessons learned: Adam Gase cannot be trusted.
ParkerThat value dropped in three seasons playing under Gase. Free from head coaches who lack achievement and catch the bait from freewheeling Ryan Fitzpatrick, Parker jumped for the highest career of 72 catches, 1,202 yards and nine goals last season.
The player is valid in 2020: Whatever skills a jet draft player has. Sorry, Jets.
15. San Diego Chargers: Melvin Gordon, RB
Gordon won two Pro Bowl awards in five seasons as a Charger. However, his term of office there may be determined by the incompatibility of the 2019 contract which proves that free agents are not registered, Austin Ekeler, can do his job better than Gordon can.
Lessons learned: Running a healthy first round is also risky.
Gordon is a hard worker in Wisconsin, playing 41 games (and carrying 611 carry) over the past three years. Although he was good for the Chargers, he never reached the level of majesty determined to choose the top 15.
16 Houston Texans: Kevin Johnson, CB
Johnson made 10 starts for Houston as a rookie, but injuries restricted him to just 19 matches the following three seasons. While he plays every week in the 2019 season for Bill‘Defense is dominant, he plays only 32 percent of the team’s defensive defense.
Lessons learned: Even safe picks sometimes explode.
Johnson looked at the cornerback of every star in Wake Forest. He compiled a college resume that was stronger than almost everyone in his conscription class. Even if the player likes Waynes and Marcus Peters having a boom-or-bust tendency, Johnson seems to have a lower ceiling but a higher floor. Instead, he struggled as a rookie and then injured him to have a big impact on Houston.
17 San Francisco 49ers: Arik Armstead, DL
Armstead played a supporting role early in his career before moving to a full-time position in the defense line for the rising Niners team. After posting nine sacks in his first four seasons, he broke through 10 last fall to help bring San Francisco the NFC title.
Lessons learned: Support the problem of the cast.
The player is valid in 2020: Jeff Okudah, Chase Young, every day 1 pick is expected to support the lower third unit.
18 Kansas City Chief: Marcus Peters, CB
Peters came to the league as a high-angle angle that could turn mistakes into turnovers (and allow QB opponents to turn their mistakes into touchdowns), even though off-field records tarnished their stock draft. He enjoyed a pro-heaving career that reached new heights after three pick-sixes in 2019 Ravens.
Lessons learned: Don’t have a spontaneous reaction to some bad game.
Peters tend to gamble in corners, causing large swings in coverage. His 25 goals allowed since joining the league are the second most in the NFL in that range. That helps lead to two different low-cost trades for All-Pro twice with more interception than scoring.
19. Cleveland Browns: Cameron Erving, OL
Erving lasted only two seasons in Cleveland before being traded to the Chiefs, where he became a useful tackle, if not essential, swing since then.
Lessons learned: The Browns can’t win.
Cleveland has two first-round options and strengthens both sides of the trench. Each choice garnered a large proportion of positive reviews (Shelton is more than Erving), but no player has survived more than three seasons with the Browns.
The poor, the poor Chocolate.
The player is valid in 2020: Whoever is taking the call to wear this swank-ass uniform.
20 Philadelphia Eagles: Nelson Agholor, WR
Agholor should be the perfect playmaker for Chip Kelly. Instead, his career began roughly before he could stabilize and then, in 2019, returned to disappointment. He will try to undergo the first round status as a Raider in 2020.
Lessons learned: Some deficiencies are not corrected.
Agholor is an occasional electric athlete and savior of slots, but his college footage shows a player whose concentration lapses cause a frustrating drop. As a fan of the Eagles will tell you, that’s a problem that hasn’t gone away in the NFL – he’s had 21 drops in the last four seasons.
21 Cincinnati Bengals: Cedric Ogbuehi, PL
Ogbuehi is a big, fast midfielder who plays guard and tackle in Texas A&M, but a torn ACL means he brings injury problems with him to the NFL. He never really rounded. He has appeared in only 16 matches (initial zero) during the last two seasons with the Bengals and Jaguars.
Lessons learned: Maybe believe in All-Pro who says he can still play in his 30s?
The arrival of Ogbuehi was made Andrew Whitworth can be spent – and when the Bengals don’t want to pay their market value, he moves to the Rams. He was an All-Pro soon after leaving Cincinnati, then a blind protector for a Super Bowl team at the age of 37.
22. Pittsburgh Steelers: Dupree Bud, Edge
Lessons learned: Trust the productive people from the Power 5 team who are ignored.
Dupree switched from three star recruitment to an All-SEC pass rusher in Kentucky, on his way to 23 sacks in his last three seasons. He had just graduated from the fourth rusher chosen in 2015. Five years later, he looked like the best first-round rusher in his class.
23. Denver Broncos: Shane Ray, Edge
Lessons learned: Tread with numbers that look too good to be true.
Ray turned himself into a first round pick with a 14.5-sack junior season breakthrough – 10 more than he had in his career until then. It also turned out to be more than he had in his entire NFL term.
The player is valid in 2020: Joe Burrow, Alex Highsmith, Brandon Aiyuk
24 Arizona Cardinals: D. J. Humphries, PL
Humphries has been a blocker for the most part when he was on the field. He was inactive throughout the rookie season and only played a total of 43 matches, although he showed enough in 2019 to produce a three-year, $ 43.75 million deal.
Lessons learned: Important injury report.
Humphries only spent two seasons as a starter in Florida and missed at least two matches because of injuries in both. While the potential of the five-star was too great to be ignored by the Cardinals, in the second half it was like a tackle Donovan Smith or Rob Havenstein will be a more productive obstacle in Arizona.
25 Carolina Panthers: Shaq Thompson, LB
Thompson is a do-it-all linebacker in his defense against operands and running as an NFL gap-plugger. Last season was his best year: 109 tackles, three sacks, and 11 tackles for defeat despite the ugliness attached to the Panther 2019.
Lessons learned: Don’t think too much about things.
The Panthers take young, proven athletic talents to fill unhealthy positions. Thompson’s flexibility is a boon for his defense coordinator. He is ready to be taken Luke KuechlyTorch to 2020 and so on.
26. Baltimore Ravens: Breshad Perriman, WR
Perriman is a mess for the Ravens. Injuries snatched his rookie campaign, and he only recorded a catch rate of 42.7 percent in the two years that followed. His grades have recovered in recent years, although he has never caught more than 36 passes in one season.
Lessons learned: NFL development is not a straight line.
Perriman looks like a statue after burning in Baltimore, but the past two years have provided a flash of brilliance. Redemption came in brief moments with the Browns and Buccaneers (seven matches with at least 70 yards received). The Jets bet he can fulfill his first round destiny after signing him for one year, $ 6.5 million in this offseason deal.
The player is valid in 2020: Every one.
27 Dallas Cowboys: Byron Jones, CB
Jones switched from UConn to one of the front corners of the league in five years with Dallas. Salary cap shocks allow it to enter the open market. Dolphins are obliged to submit contracts worth $ 82.5 million at the time to lead their rebuilding.
Lessons learned: Bets on men who set world records on combinations.
Investing in stellar combinations doesn’t always pay off, but when a man comes out and produces a more extraordinary performance – as Jones did with a broad jump of 12’3 – he might deserve a concept board.
28 Detroit Lions: Laken Tomlinson, G.
Tomlinson is one of the more surprising choices from the first round; Useful interior lineman expected to be the choice of Day 2. Although he struggled in Detroit, he has since developed into a stable starter for 49ers.
Lessons learned: Be patient, even with a polished prospect.
The Lions didn’t have a left guard on the list when they composed Tomlinson, who took him to be thrown into the fire as a beginner. Detroit finally sells a growing starter with a cheap starter contract to San Francisco for … fifth round options. The trade looks like the lion wants.
The player is valid in 2020: Every fifth year seniors are out there.
29 Indianapolis Colts: Phillip Dorsett, WR
Dorsett is a burner in Miami, averaging 23.3 yards per catch in his last two seasons. He also only has 49 catches for the two years – setting the stage for a career that sees him vital in spurring and anonymous elsewhere between the Colts and the Patriots.
Lessons learned: Deep-ball speed can be a difficult transition to the NFL.
Dorsett has the opportunity to play with two top-tier quarterbacks in his career (Andrew Luck, Tom Brady) and did not evolve into anything more than a reliable third choice. Although valuable, he has never had more than 33 catches in one season.
30 Green Bay Packers: Damallous Randall, DB
After three decent seasons at Green Bay, Randall was exchanged for DeShone Kizer, which is one of the most impolite sentences that can be written about a soccer player. Randall move to a safe place and is a versatile player for the Browns.
Lessons learned: Don’t trade for DeShone Kizer (or who throws twice as many interceptions as touchdowns).
Kizer has undoubtedly had its growth stunted by the starting season which began for the terrible Browns team, and sending Green Bay players not interested in re-registering was not a bad idea in theory. But the Packers still sent a 25-year starter to Cleveland for quarterbacks who went 0-15 and posted an 11:22 TD: INT ratio in their debut season.
The player is valid in 2020: Anyone who was exchanged for Jameis Winston in 2022.
31. New Orleans Saints: Stephone Anthony, LB
Anthony played through his second second with Saints in 2019 after being traded to dolphins two years earlier. Unlike Tomlinson, he failed to recover; he started all 16 matches for New Orleans as a rookie but has only started four in four seasons since then.
Lessons learned: The appearance of the all-rookie team is not an indicator of success.
Anthony is an all-rookie choice, but he has mainly been a special team player since 2016. While the team is eager to kick the tires on him, the fact the Jets, Falcons, and Dolphins are all releasing or letting him go is an indicator of how small that potential means now.
The player is valid in 2020: Each of the newcomers this season.
32. New England Patriots: Malcom Brown, DT
Brown spent four seasons at the center of the Patriots’ defense line, then last year with the Saints. In both places, he does his job well enough so that most of it is invisible while his team-mates largely benefit from the disturbances it causes.
Lessons learned: Don’t let top-20 candidates fall to Bill Belichick.
chocolate is expected to land at the top of the draft, but its decline to No. 32 convinced Belichick to stop his strongest urge to trade picks. The Texas star meets the immediate needs of New England and plays a key role in the two Super Bowl championship teams.
The player is valid in 2020: Zack Baun, Jerry Jeudy, Henry Ruggs, Andrew Thomas, Tristan Wirfs, Mekhi Becton, etc.
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