There are 10 games on the MLB schedule for Monday, so there’s a lot of action on the board. Below you’ll find some of my favorite picks and shot props. If you’re looking for more bets this season, have a look at the FTN Bet Tracker at FTNBets.com. Make sure you check out the free FTN Parlay Calculator for the best odds.
LA Dodgers -161 (BetAmerica) in the Chicago Cubs +157 (William Hill) – O / U 8
Dodgers and Cubs kicked off a three-game series at Wrigley Field. Walker Buehler (1-0, 3.16 ERA) gets the ball for the Dodgers and the Cubs will hit back with Kyle Hendricks (1-3, 7.54 ERA).
The Dodgers enter Sunday’s game against the Brewers with a slight drop as they have had the third lowest rate (0.279) over the past two weeks. They got up in such an extraordinary way as they made 16 runs in Milwaukee, thanks to a combined 15 RBIs from AJ Pollock (eight) and Matt Beaty (seven). Los Angeles collected 18 strokes and got a pitcher at Hendricks who allowed a lot of contact this season.
Hendricks had the highest career contact percentage of 82.6, and his fastball was at a career lowest speed of 86.4 mph (87.4 last season). He also rocked a career-high 36.8% fly-ball rate and 41.6% hitting rate. He coughed 32 hits, 19 runs, 10 homers and eight walks in 22.2 innings. Hendricks has never been a big attacking thrower (7.60 K / 9 during his career) and he has struggled this season with runs (3.18 W / 9).
The same cannot be said for Buehler, who has allowed two or less runs in four of his five starts. He’s checked with a 31: 2 K: BB ratio over 31.1 innings and he’s in a good place to get a few more strikeouts as 27.2 K% Cubs is the third highest in the game. Chicago always ranks in the top 10 on SwStr% and CSW%. Consider the above on a Buehler strikeout prop if you can find it at 6.5.
Los Angeles has the league’s highest +45 sprint record difference thanks to Sunday’s incredible boom. Meanwhile the Cubs are at -14 and sit in last place at NL Central. You’ll have to pay a little to get the Dodgers on the money line which I think is good, but consider their whole team of implied 4.5, which you can find at our FTN Props Store.
Prediction: 6-3, Los Angeles Best bet: Money line & O Dodgers 4.5 Total Prop Teams: O Dodgers 4.5 Total Teams
Tampa Bay Rays +100 (BetAmerica) in LA Angels -105 (William Hill) – O / U 7.5
The Rays and Angels opens a four-game series in Anaheim. Both teams started with their aces. Tyler Glasnow (3-1, 1.67 ERA) gets the ball for Tampa Bay while Angels sends two-way superstar Shohei Ohtani (1-0, 3.29 ERA) to the mound.
Glasnow has been nearly perfect this season apart from one start against the Toronto Blue Jays where she let five runs over six innings. He’s still scoring 10 goals in that game as he has a very strong 39.2 K% for the season (56 K in 37.2 IPs). Glasnow allowed two total runs in the other five starts (31.2 innings).
Ohtani will be making his fourth start, and although he struggles with the command (13 runs in 13.2 innings), he’s doing a lot of good. Ohtani allowed a person to run during his first two games (8.2 innings), but he did 11 runs. In his final start against Rangers, Ohtani gave up four runs and two runs in the first inning, but he sat still and threw four innings goalless after that. He ended up with nine strikeouts and he was not running again in the battle to his first win since 2018.
I hope both fouls will be slowed down by this pitcher. The Rays don’t run much and they have the second-highest hitting percentage in baseball, so Ohtani should be able to get a few swings and mistakes. Glasnow has allowed two or fewer runs in 10 of its last 13 innings since 2020. It has an ERA of 1.06 in 17 innings on the road this season and he has a mark of 3.45 in 31.1 more innings from TB in 2020.
Prediction: 3-2, Los Angeles Best bet: Under 7.5 Prop: Shohei Ohtani O 7.5 K (I’ll get as high as 8.5 K)
Others to consider: Minnesota; Toronto; Cleveland