Tag Archives: BOND / (UPDATE 2)

UPDATE sells Euro-2 zone bonds; Italy has set the best month since May | Instant News


* Eurozone periphery government bond yields tmsnrt.rs/2ii2Bqr (Updates throughout)

By Elizabeth Howcroft

LONDON, July 31 (Reuters) – Eurozone government bonds were sold on Friday, both in the core and periphery, with Italian 10-year bonds set as the worst day since early May but still producing strong performance throughout the month.

With the market widely cautious on Friday, analysts said the sell-off could be triggered by an unusual month-end flow.

“I attribute it to long-term, long-term positions from dealers who may be mistaken because of the sale of real cash flow,” said Peter Chatwell, chief of multi-asset strategy at Mizuho.

Analysts were surprised by the move, because the month-end index extension – where funds rebalanced their portfolios to reflect activity during the month – was expected to support bonds at the start of the session.

Italian 10-year yields are at their highest level in more than a week, up 6 basis points (bps) at 1.092% at 1449 GMT.

However, Italian bonds have experienced a decent month, with yields set down 24 bps in July – the best month since May. The paper demand was driven by recovery funds agreed by the European Union last week.

The 750 billion euro fund, which will partly be offered as a grant to the member states hardest hit by the coronavirus, has been hailed as a game changer for the eurozone and has increased Italy’s debt, given concerns about the country’s sustainability. loan.

Italy’s risk premium pays Germany for 10-year debt falling to March lows when the fund was agreed, although it has risen again this week, and is 3 bps wider on Friday at 160.65 bps.

Mizuho Chatwell said the Italian rally that was easing this week could be due to oversupply.

“What happened to BTP was a bit exhausted after recording a number of supplies,” he said.

“I think the market is now saturated with this positivity, but supply continues to run,” he added.

The 10-year German Bund benchmark was set for the best month since April, as investors flocked to safe-haven debt, pushing yields below -0.5%.

Safe-haven bonds are likely to remain supported given the increasing number of coronavirus cases around the world, raising fears of new lockouts.

Global fund managers prefer to cut equities to their lowest level in four years in July while keeping bond allocations unchanged, as hopes for economic recovery fade, a Reuters poll shows.

Data on Thursday revealed a record contraction in Germany – the region’s leading economy – and sent Bund results to two and a half month lows, but there was little reaction on Friday to the euro zone GDP estimates.

But euro zone inflation suddenly rose in July, supporting the European Central Bank’s expectations that negative headline readings could be avoided. (Reporting by Yoruk Bahceli and Elizabeth Howcroft; editing by Gareth Jones and Mark Potter)

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UPDATE 2-Italian bonds are set for the best week in two months | Instant News


* Italian 10-year bond yields fell 16 bps this week

* Set for the biggest weekly decline in 2 months

* German Bund results briefly touched 2-month lows of -0.499%

* Eurozone periphery government bond yields tmsnrt.rs/2ii2Bqr (Add comments, update prices to close)

By Dhara Ranasinghe

LONDON, July 24 (Reuters) – The Italian bond market is ready for the best week in two months on Friday, even as borrowing costs rise from 4-1 / 2 month lows set after this week’s agreement on a European Union recovery fund to support the economy hit by coronavirus.

Bond yields across the euro zone rose after data showing eurozone business activity recovered in July and signs of rising US / Chinese tensions prompted investors to take profits on rising prices this week and yields fell.

Yields on Italian 10-year bonds rose 2 basis points to 1.07%, from Thursday’s low of around 1.04%.

However, Italian yields fell around 16 bps this week, set for the biggest weekly decline in two months. According to Tradeweb data, Italian 10-year bond yields fell below 1% on Thursday for the first time since March.

Yields on Spanish and Portuguese 10-year bonds are down about 6 bps this week, Greek yields have fallen 10 bps.

“The impact of the recovery fund is not fully appreciated and is still not fully appreciated,” said Peter Chatwell, head of multi-asset strategy at Mizuho. “The structural part of this story is that it allows the risk of the euro to split to a level that has not been seen for some time.”

In Germany, yields rose from two-month lows after the euro zone flash Composite Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), seen as a good indicator of economic health, rose to 54.8, the highest since mid-2018 and above forecasts. The final reading for June is 48.5.

The 10-year Bund yield held up to 4 bps at -0.44%, after briefly touching a two-month low in early trade around -0.50% because German bonds also benefited from renewed optimism about the euro area.

Three forces seem to play a role – a strong fiscal response, an aggressive stimulus from the European Central Bank, and a perception of better handling the health crisis versus the United States.

It also helped raise the euro to 21-month highs against the dollar this week.

European Union leaders on Tuesday approved a 750 billion euro recovery fund, which according to Italian Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte would allow his government to change Italy. Italy and Spain, the two countries hardest hit by the pandemic, are among the biggest beneficiaries of the agreement.

“We think the Recovery Fund is a key element for Europe’s response to the shock. The ECB is helping to cope with large funding needs but cannot replace every foreign investor in the periphery, “analysts at BofA said in a note.

Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe; edit by Larry King and Steve Orlofsky

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