New cases of coronavirus in Pakistan continues to decline over the past two weeks-the development of the government of Prime Minister Imran Khan dubbed as a result of his “successful” anti-COVID-19 strategy.
But experts in the field of health care are skeptical about the government’s statement, warning that it is too early to declare victory against the virus that has already infected more than 250 000 people across the country with nearly 5,500 deaths. while about 70% of patients recovered.
On Tuesday, the country reported a little less than 2000 new cases, the lowest number of daily cases per year, compared to between 5 000 and 6 000 in may and June.
The government closed 1,000 beds for patients with coronavirus in the North-Eastern city of Lahore, citing a reduction in the number of new cases and “home isolation” policy for patients.
Federal planning Minister Asad Umar, who also heads the country’s anti-coronavirus campaign, argues that a decline of 28% in recent weeks, the number of patients needing artificial respiration and oxygen.
“This happened because of the policies of smart lock government bodies of the SOP (standard operating procedures), and to top it all off, the collective response from the people,” he said on Twitter.
Last month he warned that the infection may exceed by the end of July of 1 million, if the daily numbers continued to grow unabated.
Currently, Pakistan is the twelfth largest in COVID-19 cases in the world, and second in the region after India.
Experts in the field of healthcare lead to a significant reduction in the number of tests as one of the causes of the depletion a new COVID-19 cases.
Against the advice of doctors, the number of secondary tests for coronavirus dropped from 28 000 per day to less than 24,500 in the last few weeks, although the government argues that the test of capacity to 32,000.
“There is a downward trend in new cases of coronavirus in the past few weeks, but that’s mostly due to the decrease in the number of daily tests. This, of course, is not a positive thing”, – said the Agency “Anatolia”, the Qaisar Sajjad, head of the Pakistan Medical Association, the national body of medical workers.
The Association, he said, encouraged the government to increase the daily COVID-19 tests per 100,000, but instead follow the advice of doctors, the number was reduced.
“Another reason for the decline in the number of tests is that the doctors in our time, not forcing patients to get themselves tested for soft reasons,” said Sajjad, ear, nose and throat specialist. “The General public-it’s not something that’s in a panic. They are not in a hurry to the hospital laboratory for COVID-19 tests, in the case of a mild cough, fever and pain, compared to last months.”
“Panic by and large, but the threat is still there. The main threat are patients with no or mild symptoms. If they are not checked, we will never know whether or not they are infected,” he added.
Zardar, Bilawal Bhutto, Chairman of the center-left Pakistan peoples party, which rules southern Sindh province, the country most affected region with COVID-19, also attacked the Central government to reduce the number of tests.
“Wherever PTI (ruling Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf), the government, the number of tests is deliberately reduced to show a smaller number of patients,”, Bilawal said at a press conference on Monday in Karachi.
“If you don’t test, schedule [coronavirus] patients automatically falls,” he said.
Home to 50 million people of Sindh, the country’s second largest population after the province of Punjab, currently leads in terms of COVID-19 tests per capita.
North-Eastern Punjab, which is home to 130 million people, currently holds only 6,000 to 7,000 tests a day, according to the Ministry of health.
The ratio drops
Dr. Faisal Sultan, Prime Minister, coordinator of the coronavirus, there is a peak, which fell into the health system of the country in mid-June, declined, mainly due to the Government’s “smart lock” strategy aggressive campaign to raise awareness and change behavior among the masses.
“The factors that helped in reducing cases of awareness-raising campaigns, behavioural change, smart lock,” Sultan told the Anadolu Agency.
“In the coming weeks, we can identify the factors, or rather according to their contribution to decrease”, – he said.
“All epidemics have three stages. First they start, then click on the peak, and then begin to decline. It [declining] this is the most important part where we have to continue the following precautions to maintain the schedule or to push it to further decrease”, – he added.
Dr. Faiyaz Alam in Karachi-health expert is associated with the coronavirus treatment, had a similar opinion.
“The reduction in the number of checks is the issue, but it is not the main reason for the reduction in the number of new cases. A significant decline in the rate of infection is the real reason for this,” said Alam speaking at the Anadolu news Agency.
“The average ratio of infection was between 22% and 23% for 100 patients a few weeks ago. But now dropped to 12% to 13%”, – he said.
To better understand people with safety guidelines was another reason for the decline of the coefficient of infection, he said.
“In my opinion, people realized that the coronavirus is not going away soon. They realized that they will have to live with him for a few months or years. They are taking precautions”, he said. “So there is no load on the ambulance, and rushed outside testing laboratories”.
Threat spike is still there
Alam, however, admitted COVID-19 patients without symptoms will continue to pose a threat to a new leap in the pandemic.
“There’s no need to panic, but as well to relax. The threat is nothing more than the reduction of the infection diet can be temporary” he said, warning that the upcoming Eid-ul-Adha, the Muslim holiday will be “vital” for the country’s anti-coronavirus strategy.
“If people leave, as they did on Eid-ul-Fitr in the hundreds of thousands, I have no doubt another peak,” said he, addressing a celebration at the end of the Holy month of Ramadan.
In some cases soared manifold after the government eased restrictions cooped up in may on the eve of Eid-ul-Fitr.
Echoing the view of Alam, Sajjad said: “If people do not take precautionary measures, and act in the same [Eid-ul-Fitr] fashion, then it will be an even greater surge in the pandemic.”
“It’s too early to jump to conclusion in respect of the reduction in the number COVID-19 cases of disease and death,” he said.
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