Tag Archives: predictable

America’s Cup 2021: Wind conditions could see Team New Zealand unveil ‘The Whomper’ sails | Instant News


With winds on the lower end of the expected wind threshold for the second day of the Copa America, today could be the day Team New Zealand unveils “The Whomper”.

What … you may ask? Here’s everything you need to know about dramatic screens, including how they are used, when and why.

The Whomper is a large, light, traditional, masthead sailing style that will allow Te Rehutai to continue fighting his way to the finish line if the winds become so light he can’t stay on the mast.

Regatta director Iain Murray is unsure about race conditions this morning, with around 2-7 knots of wind from the northeast expected today.

A race cannot take place if the wind speed is not recorded to exceed 6.5 knots for five continuous minutes on the course selected before the scheduled race.

In addition, if the race is to start in marginal conditions, the lead ship must arrive at the first mark within 12 minutes while the total race time must not exceed 45 minutes.

However, if the wind conditions did meet the threshold for the occurrence of a race, it would likely be at a very challenging level for the two ships to stay in foil.

That’s where The Whomper might come in.

AUT Screen Professor Mark Orams was thrilled by the potential of his performance, but said it could also turn against them.

“The only time I can see it deployed is if the weather is clear, the wind will not rise to a level that allows takeoff and derail and the boat sails with the wind in displacement mode,” he said.

“What’s really scary is if they produce enough power and speed to lift onto the foil and suddenly the ‘whoper’ will become a huge load and sure to be a ‘screen of doom’.

“But I would love to see him … I am a sailor around the old world where there are no limits, you can just use whatever nature gives you whether it’s zero or 60 knots.”

The screen name comes from a film documenting the success of the 1983 America’s Cup campaign, but steals details from a 1987 campaign in which Australia’s Alan Bond IV used a giant spinnaker screen.

The Whomper is “a completely asymmetrical spinnaker description developed by the Bond syndicate for the first reach at 12 meters pinned from the bow, or through the post to the bow, as opposed to flying it high at the post”, Murray explained to the media during a briefing on the day. Friday.

Put simply, what the general public can understand: it makes a “whomp!” sound when filled with the wind.

World champion sailor Phil Robertson told NZME in February that there would be many logistical issues to be overcome in rolling and unfolding sails – which are not good against the wind – during the race.

The New Zealand team will probably unveil their newest weapon today, a screen that could lightly sink Luna Rossa's Cup of America hopes.  Photo / Aidan Nicholas.
The New Zealand team will probably unveil their newest weapon today, a screen that could drown Luna Rossa’s Cup of America hopes in light air. Photo / Aidan Nicholas.

Sailing observers told the Herald they were wondering how the team could combat the breezes that continued during the race, after the crazy Christmas Cup clash between Team NZ and Team Ineos England.

The victory of the NZ team was robbed of the race, their huge lead meaningless after the boat was stranded in light air and was unable to meet the 45 minute time limit.

Today might be the perfect conditions for Team NZ to unveil this invisible weapon and sailing enthusiasts will listen closely.

Towards a Cup race?

• Give yourself plenty of time and think about taking the ferry, train, or bus to watch the Cup.

• Make sure your AT HOP card is in your pocket. It’s the best way to ride.

• Don’t forget to scan the QR code with the NZ COVID Tracer app when taking public transportation and entering America’s Cup Village.

• For more ways to enjoy race day, visit at.govt.nz/americascup.

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Summer heat is starting to roll amid another northern dry | Instant News


A lone fisherman braves the heat of Hawke’s Bay at Napier’s Perfume Point. Niwa predicts weather that looks more like summer – especially in the northern and eastern regions – through to autumn. Photo / Paul Taylor

Summer-like conditions are expected to persist well past the end of the season in already dry parts of New Zealand – with some bags now roasting in severe drought.

Niwa latest views over the next three months there is a longer, hotter dry season across the country – and the potential to reduce rainfall in places north and east that feel mostly hot.

That pattern is driven by the bizarre La Niña climate system, which traditionally brings many northeastern storms to normally dry areas.

Which is called “hot spot” – or places with very dry to very dry than usual soil conditions – have now developed over large parts of Northland, parts of Auckland, northern Waikato, and parts of the East Cape.

Meteorologists also keep an eye on the hotspots in eastern Wairarapa which are scattered in the eastern Tararua District and the Hawke’s Bay coast.

Source / Niwa
Source / Niwa

The worst conditions can be seen in the upper Far North, which has officially achieved meteorological drought status.

Although some rain is expected to fall later this week, it is likely that the hotspot – especially those in the east – will only continue to expand.

Fire hazard currently very high at the tip of the North Island, and around Dargaville, Whangarei and parts of Eastland, Porangahau, Tararua and Wairarapa.

On the South Island, there is also a high risk around McKenzie Village, and most of the coast of Marlborough and central and northern Otago.

Over the next three months, Niwa forecast above-average temperatures in the north – and close to above-average temperatures elsewhere.

“We’re going to have some warm conditions that will probably last until March – and maybe April too,” said forecaster Niwa Ben Noll.

“It won’t be summer without stopping during those months – but chances are we’ll have a spell that’s like summer, overall.

“What we can see are high pressure mountains, curving over New Zealand for maybe a week or so, before being disturbed by features like we expect from the Tasman Sea. [this week].

“But the northern and eastern parts of the North Island, which are currently the driest areas relatively normal, have the lowest chance of feeling the full effect of the feature.”

Noll noted that this dry weather followed an equally hot summer last year, resulting in Auckland’s worst drought in 25 years.

“Several locations in Auckland also have the record for driest years in 2020. Piling this on top is a tough combination.”

Auckland dam level is still recovering well, and as of the week, is running at 61 percent capacity – and more than 20 percent below the historical average for this time of year.

With Auckland needing to limit its water use to 511 million liters per day, restrictions installed throughout the city which prohibits the use of hoses not equipped with a trigger nozzle.

However, the regulation is not expected to be tightened.

“At this stage, we are confident that our new water source, coupled with Auckland’s excellent water savings, will help us get through the summer and fall without the need for more severe water restrictions,” said a Watercare spokesman.

Source / Niwa
Source / Niwa

Noll said La Nina influencing the behind-the-scenes image will likely prove to stand out in the record books, given its dramatic “non-traditional” behavior.

Most of the La Nina-flavored summers usually come with widespread warmth, but also storms from the northeast, rains in the north and east, drought in the south and southwest – far different from what New Zealand saw this summer.

That can largely be explained by two factors.

One of these is the fact that the coldest ocean temperatures in the Pacific below La Nina are found farther west than usual, meaning much of its traditional tropical activity is centered elsewhere.

The other is warmer than average temperatures in the Indian Ocean, which, combined with the unusual La Nina, result in a different climatic setting for New Zealand.

Current models suggest La Nina is likely to stick around for the next few months, before largely disappearing by winter.

Meanwhile, one of La Nina’s classic effects – warmer ocean temperatures – is at least in part, with pockets of sea around the north of the North Island reaching “ocean heat wave” conditions last month.

During January, coastal waters around New Zealand ranged from 0.3C to 0.7C above average – but it remains to be seen how long this trend will continue.

Noll says the picture is a far cry from the 2017-18 and 2018-19 summers, where repeated ocean heat waves pushed ocean temperatures several degrees above average.

“To make that happen, you need currents that extend from north to northwest – and we have too much variability to allow for that.”

Source / Niwa
Source / Niwa

While there is no immediate threat from a tropical cyclone affecting New Zealand, Noll said there is potential for activity at the end of the month.

Every year, on average one of these systems sweeps within 550 km of the country, bringing destructive winds and heavy rainfall.

So far, the cyclone seasons have gone hand in hand predicted range of eight to 10 systems in the southwest Pacific, with four recorded so far.

“Of course, the season runs through April, so we are keeping an eye on if anything will actually land here in New Zealand.”

Last month marked four years since New Zealand last experienced a month with below-average temperatures – a trend driven by climate change.

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The PM will visit Karachi next week, the Sindh governor predicted | Instant News


Sindh governor Imran Ismail on Tuesday said that Prime Minister Imran Khan is likely to visit Karachi next week.

According to sources, the visit was carried out in the middle of the prime minister’s meeting with Sindh Governor Imran Ismail, KP Governor Shah Farman and PTI leader Saifullah Niazi today.

During the meeting, matters related to the overall political situation and actions to be taken in the future were discussed.

“Matters relating to the opinion polls in the provinces and the Senate elections were discussed in the meeting with Imran Khan today,” they said adding that the ongoing situation in Kashmir was also considered during the hearing in Islamabad.

According to sources, the prime minister has given important duties to the governor given the results of the Senate poll after he held in-depth discussions with Imran Ismail on political developments.

“The governor will soon start a meeting with political stakeholders on this matter,” they said.

It is important to highlight here that PTI has approached its coalition partners in the federal government, MQM-P and PML-F, for a joint strategy against the PPP-led Sindh incumbent government in Senate elections and opinion polls.

On January 1, Pakistan Tehreek-i-Insaf (PTI) approached its coalition partner at the Center, the Pakistan Muslim-Functional League (PML-F) to discuss a common strategy for general elections in Sindh province and Senate elections.

In details, the PTI delegation chaired by the Leader of the Opposition in the Sindh Assembly Firdous Shamim Naqvi contacted PML-F, one of the main stakeholders in the GDA, where they were greeted by Nand Kumar and Sardar Abdul Rahim.

In addition, speaking after the meeting, opposition leaders paid tribute to PML-F leader Pir Pagara and said that they visited PML-F leaders to discuss a common strategy for opinion polls in the province.

Firdous Shamim Naqvi said that 13 years of PPP rule had destroyed the province and they wanted to challenge it with the support of their allies.

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New Zealand Weather: Country on a hot, sunny week with the sun shining | Instant News


A messy month due to the weather is expected to turn sunny next week – and some places could hit 30C. Photo / John Stone

A weather-cluttered moon is expected to turn bright and pleasant next week – and some places could see temperatures hitting 30C.

But meteorologists say it is too early to determine the weather forecast for Christmas – only heat, humidity and possibly more humidity could interfere.

Astrologer Niwa Ben Noll said it was a very uncertain start to December in many parts of the country.

“That’s especially true in central New Zealand – Taranaki, Manawatu and Wellington and the peaks of the South Island – where the humidity is strongest,” he said.

“At the far end of the country, meanwhile – especially in the north – we have more typical summer weather.

“However, we are going to enter a pattern that supports high pressure, with temperatures getting warmer around New Zealand.”

Auckland starts Tuesday, with daily highs for the week between 22C and 24C.

The outlook is the same for Whangarei, Hamilton and Tauranga, with highs of 25C, 26C and 25C respectively at the end of the week.

Hastings could hit a midweek 27C – while New Plymouth and Palmerston North will most likely see temperatures hitting the early 20s, and Wellington could see 18C and 19C highs – even in the sun.

On the South Island, Christchurch could hit 30C on Wednesday, with plenty of sunny weather ready for northern places like Nelson and Blenheim.

Further south, in Dunedin, Queenstown and Invercargill, the weather this week will likely be lighter.

“Next weekend is looking very hot, with widespread warmth, but especially in the eastern parts of the two islands,” said Noll.

“Overall, this picture represents what we allude to in our seasonal view – that we will have the potential for a good completion period in mid-December.

“That would be welcomed with open arms, but in some parts of the country that are still struggling with soil moisture problems, it may not be that exciting.”

While Christmas Day is too far away to mention, Noll said there was good potential for building up warmth and moisture over the previous week.

“That would make him feel really uncomfortable for some people.”

Noll said weather forecasters are also watching closely the tropical cyclone expected to develop between Fiji and Vanuatu in the coming days – which could affect our own weather later in the month.

“So we can say that, although warmth and humidity are pretty good bets ahead of Christmas, that rainfall pattern is really a big question. It will all depend on whether we receive any residual moisture from the cyclone.”

Noll said the untidy outlook – and the changing weather over the last few weeks – can generally be blamed on the La Nina climate system.

Traditionally, oceanic phenomena bring warmth everywhere during the summer, but with wetter weather around the northeast of the North Island, and drought in the south and southeast of the South Island.

The impact is evident in Niwa’s three-month summer outlook, with a combination of above-average temperatures, high humidity, almost above-normal rainfall over most of the region, and the potential for sub-tropical flows to bring heavy rainfall.

“At this point, La Nina is front and center,” said Noll.

“While there will always be ups and downs in certain seasons, we expect the northeast winds – a characteristic of La Nina – to become more prominent here over the coming weeks.”

Noll said New Zealand’s coastal waters were also being closely watched, with conditions that “ocean heat waves” had formed around the northern region.

“We can see an increase in sea surface temperatures here over the next two to three weeks.”

While warmer waves are good news for beachgoers looking to swim at Christmas time, recent years have shown that these heatwave events can damage our marine and mountainous environment.

This year is forecast to fall as the seventh hottest on record – continuing a trend clearly driven by climate change.

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