Tag Archives: scenario

NHL is happy with the talk of a season restart scenario, said the Commissioner | Instant News


NHL and the NHL Players Association have been in constant communication because they are considering scenarios to continue the season, which was stopped on March 12 because of concerns about the corona virus.

NHL Commissioner Gary Bettman regularly talks with NHLPA’s executive director Don Fehr. The League and Players Association has formed a Return to Games Committee which includes executives and players.

“Having a committee that has been put together with the players is important so that we can get feedback on issues that are important to them and how to solve them, and that we can communicate how we focus on things we think need to be done,” the Commissioner Bettman told the NHL Network on Thursday. “It’s been very collaborative, constructive and cooperative, and I couldn’t be more pleased with the interactions we have.”

After the virtual committee meeting Wednesday, NHL and NHLPA release a joint statement said that they had not yet made a decision or set a deadline regarding possible play back scenarios.

“I don’t think anyone knows for sure,” the Commissioner said Thursday when asked how close the NHL is to continuing the season. “We have to take things step by step, because the health and well-being of our players is very important for whatever we focus on.”

The joint statement said that if conditions continue to be favorable trends – subject to potential competition concerns between different located markets – NHL and NHLPA believe they might be able to allow small group activities at NHL training facilities at some point in the mid to later portions of May.

But that said the exact date remained undetermined, and in the meantime, players and staff were expected to continue to follow the recommendations to the quarantine itself that had existed since the break began.

“We want to get our training facilities open,” Commissioner Bettman said, Thursday. “We want our people to get back to work. But this is something that we will continue to evaluate every day.

“Our health problems for the players really fall into two categories: One is clearly COVID-19, and two, whatever we are going to do, we don’t want them to play until they are back in shape.

“So we will continue to monitor things, and when guidance from medical personnel is correct and government authorities feel comfortable, then we will take the first step, which is to reopen our training facilities.”

The commissioner said the NHL and NHLPA will remain patient not only about resuming this season but starting next season.

“We have a lot of flexibility in when we can start,” Commissioner Bettman said. “There is no miracle for the next season starting in October as we usually do. If we have to start in November or December, that is something that will be considered.

“We will try and make good, careful, and careful judgment. This is not a race to be the first to return. When we return, we want it at the right time, for the right reasons, under the right circumstances. “

Commissioner Bettman said the pandemic downgraded everything considered by the NHL and NHLPA.

“We missed the match,” the Commissioner said. “We miss our fans. We miss watching our players play every night. We will be in the middle [Stanley Cup Playoffs] right now. We focus on trying to do the right thing for the good of the game, so we can come back and connect with our great fans as soon as possible.

“But as soon as possible means under the right circumstances, and for that we will take our guidance from governments at all levels and from medical personnel.”

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Canadian GDP growth came to a halt in February ahead of the decline in coronavirus | Instant News


Shipping containers are placed at the Fairview Cove Container Terminal in Halifax on 25 August 2017.

Andrew Vaughan / The Canadian Press

Canada’s economy stalled in February, Statscan said on Thursday, as parliamentary budget watchdogs warned that a dramatic contraction might occur this year, with surging deficit and debt levels.

Statistics Canada says growth potential is affected in February by a teacher strike in Ontario and when the global spread of the corona virus disrupts the movement of people and goods. Analysts in a Reuters poll forecast a 0.1 percent increase.

The economy could have shrank a record 9 percent in March, Statscan said in quick estimates earlier this month, as coronaviruses and falling oil prices plummeted.

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Officials have closed down unnecessary businesses and urged people to stay at home since mid-March to slow the spread of the plague. Ottawa has also poured billions of dollars into fiscal aid for businesses and individuals to deal with the pandemic.

On Thursday, the Canadian Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) released the latest economic analysis, including a scenario where real GDP in 2020 could shrink by 12 percent, with a possible 20 percent contraction in the second quarter alone. That would be the worst GDP data since the series was compiled in 1961, the PBO said, noting that the scenario was not an estimate.

In the March 27 scenario analysis, the PBO assumes real GDP growth in 2020 will drop 5.1 percent.

Under the worsening growth scenario, the PBO estimates the federal government’s deficit could swell to $ 252.1 billion ($ 181.38 billion) in 2020-21, or 12.7 percent of GDP. On April 24, the Ottawa aid package totaled $ 146 billion, he added.

The PBO estimates that Canada’s debt to GDP ratio in 2020-21 will be 48.4 percent.

The Statscan report on GDP in February said education services fell 1.8 percent, the most since June 2014, as intensifying strikes by primary and secondary school teachers in Ontario intensified.

The country’s transportation and warehousing sector contracted 1.1 percent, as seven out of 10 subsectors declined. Rail transportation fell 5.1 percent because protesters blocked domestic rail lines, while air transportation dropped 2.6 percent because the carrier canceled several international flights.

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In a separate release, Statistics Canada said Canadian producer prices fell 0.9 percent in March from February due to lower energy and oil prices, while raw material prices dropped 15.6 percent.

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Read Permanent Orders in Fully Modified Homes From Governor Pritzker Now Now Questionable – NBC Chicago | Instant News


Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker announced last week that he would extend the country stay at home until May 30 because the state continues to see an increase in the number of cases of the corona virus, but Monday’s ruling could temporarily stop the restrictions.

Clay County Judge, Michael McHaney rule against Pritzker’s orders, giving a restraining order to temporarily block house-based restrictions which take effect on Friday, according to local reports.

The verdict came after Rep. Republican State Darren Bailey of Xenia filed a lawsuit in the Clay County District Court which claimed Pritzker exceeded his authority and violated the civil rights of citizens. Pritzker on Thursday extended his order at home until May 30 because the highly contagious COVID-19 continued to infect thousands in the state.

Read Pritzker’s complete instructions below as provided by the governor’s office.

Based on data from scientists and health experts and after consulting with stakeholders across the state, Governor JB Pritzker announced that he would sign a modified version of the country stay at home which will take effect on May 1 to continue life-saving progress. made during the past month while also allowing additional occupants in the safest way possible.

In conjunction with today’s announcement, the Governor released modeling today united by top academic institutions and researchers in Illinois who predicted the course of the corona virus in the state over the coming months. At our current trajectory, the state is projected to see peaks or plateaus of deaths per day between late April and early May, but if home stay orders are revoked this week, the model anticipates a second wave of outbreaks in Illinois starting in May, which will snatch tens of thousands of lives and far exceed the capacity of state hospitals.

“Make no mistake, Illinois has saved many lives. By staying at home and maintaining social distance, we have maintained our infection and death rates for March and April, thousands below the projected figure if we did not implement this mitigation strategy, “Governor JB Pritzker said. “I know how much we all want our normal lives back. But this is the part where we have to explore and understand that the sacrifice we make is a circumstance to avoid the worst case scenario working – and we need to keep going a little longer to finish the job. “

STAY AMENDED AT HOME ORDER

Applying mitigation measures is only possible with wide availability and access to COVID-19 testing, tracking and treatment. Data shows that if the country raised mitigation abruptly this week, this would produce a second wave of infections, hospitalization and death.

After consulting with doctors, scientists, and experts in Illinois and around the world, the Governor has announced that he will sign a modified version of a permanent order in the state that will take effect on May 1 and extended until the end of the month. Modified orders will strengthen the country’s social distance requirements while giving residents additional flexibility and providing measurable assistance for non-essential businesses in the safest way.

The new executive order will include the following modifications which are effective May 1:
• OUTDOOR RECREATION: State parks will begin a gradual reopening under the guidance of the Department of Natural Resources. Fishing and boating in groups of no more than two people will be permitted. A list of parks to open on May 1 and additional guidelines can be found on the Illinois Department of Natural Resources, HERE’s website. Golf will be permitted under the strict safety guidelines provided by the Illinois Department of Commerce and Economic Opportunities (DCEO) and when ensuring that social distance is followed.

• NEW IMPORTANT BUSINESS: Greenhouses, garden centers and nurseries can be reopened as important businesses. These shops must follow the social distance requirements and must require employees and customers to wear face coverings. Animal care services can also be reopened.

• NON-IMPORTANT RETAIL: Retail stores that are not designated as non-essential businesses and operations can be reopened to fulfill telephone and online orders through out-of-store pickup and delivery.

• FACE CLOSURE: Beginning on May 1, individuals will be asked to wear face masks or masks when in public places where they cannot maintain a six foot social distance. Face coverings will be needed in public closed spaces, such as shops. This new requirement applies to all individuals over the age of two who can medically tolerate face masks.

• IMPORTANT BUSINESSES AND MANUFACTURING: Important businesses and factories will be required to provide face coverings for all employees who are unable to maintain a social distance of six feet, and follow new requirements that maximize social distance and prioritize welfare. employees and customers. This will include occupancy limits for important businesses and precautions such as shifts that surprise and only operate important lines for producers.

• SCHOOL: Educational institutions can allow and establish procedures for taking the required supplies or student belongings. Displacement of dormitories must follow public health guidelines, including social exclusion.

The Illinois Department of Public Health will also issue guidelines for health centers and hospitals to allow certain elective surgery for non-life-threatening conditions, starting May 1. Facilities must meet certain criteria, including an appropriate PPE, ensuring sufficient overall space for COVID-19 patients to remain available, and elective surgical patient testing to ascertain COVID-19 negative status.

MODELING COVID-19 IN ILLINOIS

While previous projections relied on data from other countries applied in the United States, the modeling released today analyzed two-month daily data on COVID-19 deaths and ICU use in Illinois.

Top researchers from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Northwestern School of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago and Illinois Department of Public Health, together with McKinsey and Mier Consulting Group who work on behalf of the City of Chicago and Cook County, work on this projection as a cohort under Civis Analytics, a data analysis company with experience spanning the public and private sectors.

According to the state model, living in a home order has the effect intended to level the curve in Illinois.

Without staying at home, the model estimates that there will be 10 to 20 times more deaths today and that peak mortality rates and peak resource use will be 20 to 30 times what we would see with mitigation. In addition, this calculation does not account for deaths due to lack of access to health resources, so the actual number is likely to be higher.

If housing orders are revoked this week, mortality and hospitalization rates will begin to increase sharply in mid-May. It is projected that the highest mortality rate and peak resource requirements will be almost as high as if no mitigation actions had been taken. During the current outbreak, the model estimates there will be 5 to 10 times more deaths than we would see if we continued mitigation.

In one of the above scenarios, as much as half of the state population can be infected with COVID-19 at once, which will flood the health care system and result in more deaths.

As a further warning of relaxed mitigation without carefully considering the consequences, the model estimates that the number of infected people may have the same size as when the order was started. Even when hospitalization and death begin to decrease, there are still enough active cases to lead to the second wave. Fortunately, staying at home has prevented a large portion of the population from becoming ill, but that also means that a large portion of the population remains vulnerable to the virus.

Maintaining our current vigilance in controlling this epidemic is very important. The model donated by UIUC and UChicago projects daily death peaks or plains between late April and early May. The median and daily mortality range, within a 95% confidence interval, is illustrated below.

Both of these projections show that after the peak, we must expect deaths to take longer to drop to pre-epidemic levels than is needed to rise, underscoring the importance of remaining in the coming weeks and months.

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