Acadiana will see another threat from a severe storm until Sunday … but like last weekend, the storm is not expected to spread locally, with a much greater risk of bad weather anticipated further north to North Louisiana and then east to Mississippi , Alabama and maybe Georgia.
In the near future, rain and scattered storms are expected to cross the Acadiana region until Saturday night with a “small risk” of several severe storms that can produce destructive winds and / or small hail.
Activity should decrease at midnight or Saturday night faster with temperatures holding near 70 until morning while humidity will increase as the warm front moves north through the region.
Moving to Sunday, impressive dynamics of thunderstorms will develop throughout the region when short waves with low amplitude coming out of the West will trigger a storm in Texas in the morning with storms migrating eastward until late afternoon.
While the high-resolution short-range model doesn’t show much in terms of storm coverage for the Acadiana region on Sunday, we still have to watch whatever storm cells occur because they can get worse in minutes!
Meanwhile the Euro Model is much more bullish on storm activity … somewhere between the two, is what the area can actually see.
Even so, Sunday will be a “weather warning” day in all regions and make sure you remain “doppler aware.”
Acadiana is hatched to risk “a little” to “be increased” from a heavy storm on Sunday, but there may not be many storms in the area to be reckoned with … but as mentioned before, anything that can ignite in that area can produce several rotations , producing destructive winds, maybe some rather large hail, and one or two isolated tornadoes.
The greatest risk of a severe storm will be closer to the northern part of Acadiana … and it would not be surprising to see the risk of a higher storm threat sliding further north and away from Acadiana.
Meanwhile farther north, northeast Louisiana, parts of Mississippi and Alabama are hatched to “moderate risk” (level 4 of 5) for severe storms that can produce massive hail, large swaths of damaging wind, and possibly several tornadoes strong long track … basically in the same area as the fast beating Easter Sunday.
And maybe there is no rest for those who are tired because other “upper class” storm systems can impact the same area Wednesday night to early morning.
Locally for Acadiana, Sunday will be another mixed bag for possible “bad weather” with morning clouds giving way to several sun intervals. Temperatures will peak in the mid 80’s Sunday low.
The south wind blows from the southwest to 15-25 mph with some gusts of up to 30-35 mph possible throughout the Acadiana region on Sunday.
Chance of rain on Sunday will not be too high, at around 50% best … so some people might not see a drop of rain until the cold part crosses the area to Sunday night.
The best dynamics for producing bad weather on Acadiana will be from mid-morning Sunday to mid-afternoon … which gives any storm during that time period … the risk of bad weather will decrease locally until early Sunday night and will be much less after dark .
Following this weather system, look for some beautiful days Monday and Tuesday, while other systems prepare for the area on Wednesday evenings / Wednesday nights to early hours of the morning, where there may be another risk of bad weather, albeit low-end, here.
see KATC 10 Day Forecast for the latest.
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